The popularity of
Facebook
in the UK may have reached its peak, according to figures showing that the
number of unique visitors to the site has fallen for the first time.
Research firm
Nielsen
Online reported that Facebook showed a five per cent decline from 8.9
million users in December to 8.5 million last month after 17 monthly consecutive
increases.
High-profile members of the social networking site, including London mayoral
candidate
Boris
Johnson and actress
Sienna
Miller, could be giving Facebook a credibility problem, according to
industry watchers.
"This fall is a significant moment in the development of Facebook, and
potentially marks the high water mark of the site's popularity in the UK," said
Nic Howell, deputy editor of internet trade magazine
New Media
Age.
"When Tory MPs and major corporations start profiles on Facebook its brand is
devalued, driving its core user base into the arms of newer and more credible
alternatives."
However, other industry experts believe that the decline could simply
represent a seasonal dip for social networking sites as a whole.
Rival
MySpace
UK also experienced a five per cent fall in user numbers, from 5.3 million
to 5.1 million.
Facebook's audience is still 712 per cent higher than a year ago and nine per
cent higher than three months ago.
"Just as one swallow does not make a summer, one month of falling audiences
does not spell the decline of Facebook or social networking," said Alex
Burmaster, European internet analyst at Nielsen Online.
Tim Johnson, chief analyst at
Point
Topic, believes that the figures represent a cooling down in terms of the
novelty of social networking, but that will usage will continue.
"The first wave of adopters are cooling off a bit as the initial craze starts
to fade, but people will keep on using social networking sites even though they
spend less time on them," he said.
Although MySpace and Facebook are responsible for over 80 per cent of the
market, the range of sites will become much more diverse, according to Point
Topic.
Growth in numbers will resume as the idea spreads to older age groups and
poorer people, although it will never repeat the speed of the initial viral
infection.
Do you agree?
Have your say on this article